The Philippine mid-term elections have delivered surprising results that may threaten President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr.’s Senate control. With 80% of the vote counted, Marcos’ allies have secured fewer seats than expected. Meanwhile, his rival, former President Rodrigo Duterte, won the mayoralty of his family’s stronghold despite being detained in The Hague over charges related to his drug war. As tensions rise between the Marcos and Duterte dynasties, the future of Vice President Sara Duterte, who is facing an impeachment trial, is uncertain.
The Mid-Term Elections: A Battle Between Dynasties
The mid-term elections on Monday saw 18,000 positions contested, ranging from local officials to governors and senators. This election was viewed as a battle between Marcos and Vice President Sara Duterte. The two were once allies but now represent competing dynasties. This election is crucial in shaping the Philippines’ future political landscape.
Senate Race: Unexpected Shifts in Support
Of the 12 Senate seats available, many expected Marcos’ allies to dominate. However, the latest results show that only six of his candidates have won seats. One of these, broadcaster Erwin Tulfo, has received endorsement from Duterte’s camp. He is the only Marcos-backed candidate to rank in the top five, a key indicator of public support.
Duterte Loyalists Seize Senate Seats
The Duterte camp has fared better, with loyalists like Christopher “Bong” Go and former police chief Ronald “Bato” dela Rosa securing top spots. Marcos’ sister, Imee, also won a seat after breaking away from her brother’s alliance. This shift signals a growing divide between the Marcos and Duterte factions. Both sides now battle for control of the Senate, which could play a key role in Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial.
The Impeachment Trial of Sara Duterte
The Senate will play a crucial role in Vice President Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial. Critics argue that her actions are politically motivated. If the Senate votes to impeach her, she could be barred from running for president in 2028. The trial’s outcome now depends on the loyalties of newly elected senators.
Political Shift: Aquino Family’s Return to Power
In a surprising turn, Paolo Benigno “Bam” Aquino secured second place in the Senate race. Aquino, a former senator and cousin of a former president, represents a break from the Marcos and Duterte dynasties. This marks the return of the Aquino family to national politics after being sidelined for years. The Aquino family was once the main rival to the Marcos family in the 1980s and early 1990s.
Duterte’s Continued Influence: Mayor Win from Jail
Rodrigo Duterte’s political influence remains strong despite his detention. His family has kept control of Davao City, with his son Sebastian elected vice-mayor. Duterte’s youngest daughter, Veronica, also campaigned for him. Duterte’s victory in the mayoral race was expected. His family has held the post in Davao since the mid-1980s. Despite his detention, Duterte’s political base remains solid in the south.
Election Day Challenges: Long Queues and Technical Issues
Election day was not without challenges. Voters faced long lines in 33°C (91°F) heat, and there were reports of machine malfunctions and violence. Despite these obstacles, the election showed how deeply rooted personality-driven politics are in the Philippines. Candidates often focused on entertainment rather than addressing issues like corruption and infrastructure problems.
